As I posted yesterday, I think we're still a few games away from worrying about the Hawks. Even if they keep losing, as long as they're out-shooting their opponents by 10 shots a game, I'm not gonna mind too much. Sure you want it to lead to goals, and you definitely start to wonder about our defense and goalkeeping, but you just have to be able to ride out the bad break streaks. It's just the nature of sport.
All the same, it'd be nice to get a statement W to build a bit of momentum around. Going into New Jersey, the #2 seed in the East and the lone Top 4 team in either conference playing really well right now, and getting a W when Martin Brodeur attempts to set the career wins record? That's a statement.
The Devils won three Cups between 94-95 and 02-03, a run rivaled in this era only by the Wings. However, since that last Cup, they haven't even made it back to the Conference Finals, despite averaging over 100 points during the last 4 seasons. With 93 points and 14 games left, another 100 point season is in the works. Is another early exit in the playoffs?
Not if the Devils can stay as hot as they have been lately. Despite losing Brodeur for nearly 4 full months (November through February), the Devils have hung around near the top of the East. With his return, they've launched themselves into position for the #1 seed (trailing Boston by 6 points, but having 3 games in-hand) thanks to a mere 5 losses in the past two months. Yeah. Their 24 home wins are 4th most in the NHL, so the face-painters are a tough crowd to play in front of.
Long known as a defense-first team, the Devils are definitely scoring, ranking in the league's top 10 in goals. Their power play sits around the top 10 as well. That's thanks to a slew of weapons young and old. Parise (#9 - 40 G, 42 A) has elevated from a 30-goal scorer (twice) to a 40-goal guy, and could be the top American-born player in the game today. Longtime Devil Elias (#26 - 28 G, 45 A) is having his best-season since the lock-out, while Langenbrunner (#15 - 23 G, 37 A) is another high-producing multi-Cup winning vet.
Youngsters Zajac (#19 - 19 G, 39 A) and Clarkson (#23 - 15 G, 13 A) have both emerged as impact guys, while vets Gionta (#14 - 15 G, 36 A), Zubrus (#8 - 14 G, 21 A), and Rolston (#12 - 14 G, 12 A) are stable producers. This team is tough in the face-off circle, as Zajac, Madden (#11), Zubrus, and Holik (#16) all are over 50%, with the 4th liner Holik up near 60%.
Despite missing Brodeur for those four months, the Devils remain the NHL's stingiest defense, especially impressive given that their PK is just slightly above average. Martin (#7 - 4 G, 22 A, 24:19 ATOI) anchors a balanced blue line, while Oduya (#29 - 6 G, 21 A, 21:02 ATOI) also logs a good amount of time. Salvador (#24 - 3 G, 11 A, 19:51 ATOI) and White (#5 - 1 G, 16 A, 19:14 ATOI) round out their top pairings, while Mottau (#27 - 1 G, 11 A, 17:54 ATOI) and recently acquired Havelid (#28 - 2 G, 15 A, 20:32 ATOI) give the Devils 6 solid defenders.
With such a high-powered offense backed by a great defense, it's little surprise that the plus-minuses are all solid to outstanding. Zajac, Parise, and Langenbrunner are all above a +25, while defensemen Mottau, White, Oduya, and Martin are all over a +20. No regular is lower than a -3. Langenbrunner wears the "C" while Madden and Elias sport the "A." Clarkson (127 PIM) and Rupp (#17 - 114 PIM) are their guys most likely to drop the gloves. And if you're a patriot - Parise, Langenbrunner, Gionta, Rolston, Martin, and Mottau are all Americans.
Finally, the Devils of recent vintage have ultimately been about one man - Brodeur (#30 - 2.06 GAA, .922 Sv% in 18 games). The guy hasn't lost a step, posting 4 SHO in those 18 starts. The fact that he'll be fresh and back to full speed come the playoffs is a scary, scary thought, especially given how strong the team is elsewhere. While Brodeur was out, Clemmenson (#35 - 2.39 GAA, .917 Sv %) certainly held his own, and deserves a ton of credit for keeping the Devils in the mix these past four months.
The Hawks have a chance to win a statement game or become a footnote in history tonight. Brodeur has a shot at a much deserved record for wins by a goalie (eclipsing the mark Patrick Roy set only a few years ago, one he took over from Terry Sawchuk of the old Gordie Howe Red Wings dynasty). Let's hope he does it Friday night when they host the Wild.
Tuesday, March 17, 2009
Monday, March 16, 2009
"See now, there's your problem - this here is 1901 W Madison. You thought you were at 1060 W Addison."
Alright, come in off the ledge already. Especially all you Cubs fans. The Hawks are not about to blow anything. Stop, breath, and read that last line again.
Some simple facts about some other NHL teams to help you sleep at night:
The fact is that besides NJ, every one of the top teams in the NHL has just gone through or is still experiencing a rough stretch of hockey. And NJ probably avoided it only because of the lift that Martin Brodeur's return provided.
And it makes sense. These teams all are locked into the playoffs, and while they're still fighting for positioning (especially now that they've lost some ground), for the most part they've been coasting unchallenged in their post-season slot for months now.
Of course there was going to be a let down precisely at the time the bottom teams realize that their post-season lives hang in the balance of every game, but before the true contenders ratchet it back up for the playoffs. It's no fun to watch, but if you realize it's happening, you can ride out the storm and know that a team like the Hawks will be just fine come mid-April.
Some other thoughts to help you feel better:
Get away from Chicago media hype and pressure, focus all of your attention inward on the team as you travel together to Western Canada, and just go out and play some great hockey. Steal just one win and you can come back to the UC with a ton of confidence, some idea of what playoff hockey means, and a chance to take control of the series with back-to-back home Ws in front of the best and biggest crowds in the NHL.
One final point in case I haven't sold you already - the Hawks aren't even playing that poorly. They're just not catching the breaks. Including the OT game against Pittsburgh, the Hawks have lost 7 of their last 10. But in that stretch, they've failed to out-shoot their opponents only twice - on the road against the East's best team in Boston (where they still managed a highly respectable 35 shots), and the lay down against Colorado last Sunday.
In the other 8 they've not only out-shot their opponents, but done it in a HUGE way, averaging almost 38 shots for to only about 28 for their opponents. That's an absurd shot differential over a 10-game stretch. And it suggests that this streaky game of hockey just happens to be working against the Hawks right now, but that the underlying play remains solid.
The Hawks will turn things around. Getting Khabi back will help in a big way (even if he was a bit rusty yesterday), as will the return of Sharp and the introduction of Pahlsson. I'm still a big doubter of JQ's ability to win deep into the post-season, but you can't deny his ability to get his team there and win early.
So don't expect a Cubs-esque letdown of your high expectations. Instead, believe in the talent and execution the Hawks have shown and know that the best is still yet to come.
Some simple facts about some other NHL teams to help you sleep at night:
- One recently finished a stretch where they lost three times in six games, TWICE giving up eight goals (and giving up five in the other loss).
- One has lost six of their last nine, including three straight at home at one point.
- One just came off a stretch where they lost four straight and six of eight.
- One team has lost four of their last five, with the lone W coming in a shoot-out.
- One just posted a four straight losses on a homestand.
- One has lost five of their last nine, despite playing six of those at home.
The fact is that besides NJ, every one of the top teams in the NHL has just gone through or is still experiencing a rough stretch of hockey. And NJ probably avoided it only because of the lift that Martin Brodeur's return provided.
And it makes sense. These teams all are locked into the playoffs, and while they're still fighting for positioning (especially now that they've lost some ground), for the most part they've been coasting unchallenged in their post-season slot for months now.
Of course there was going to be a let down precisely at the time the bottom teams realize that their post-season lives hang in the balance of every game, but before the true contenders ratchet it back up for the playoffs. It's no fun to watch, but if you realize it's happening, you can ride out the storm and know that a team like the Hawks will be just fine come mid-April.
Some other thoughts to help you feel better:
- The Hawks still have a game in-hand on Vancouver for the #4 seed, as well as a two point lead and more total wins (the tiebreaker).
- The Hawks remain on pace for the same 102 points that Calgary is on pace for. Calgary and Vancouver play in the same division, so if Vancouver remains hot and jumps the Hawks, the Hawks can still keep the #4 seed if they can finish above the Flames.
- The Hawks play 9 of their final 15 at home, where they're still an impressive 18-8-6, even despite their recent struggles.
- The Hawks have a 10 point lead and a game in hand on the 7th seed, meaning there's almost no way possible they could fall far enough to have to face either Detroit or San Jose in the first round.
- The Hawks are 4-0 against Calgary and 2-1 against Vancouver (with a home game left), so even if they do fall to the #5 or #6 seed, they've proven they can beat their opponents both at home and on the road.
- The Hawks are 19-13-3 on the road, one of the best marks in the whole NHL.
Get away from Chicago media hype and pressure, focus all of your attention inward on the team as you travel together to Western Canada, and just go out and play some great hockey. Steal just one win and you can come back to the UC with a ton of confidence, some idea of what playoff hockey means, and a chance to take control of the series with back-to-back home Ws in front of the best and biggest crowds in the NHL.
One final point in case I haven't sold you already - the Hawks aren't even playing that poorly. They're just not catching the breaks. Including the OT game against Pittsburgh, the Hawks have lost 7 of their last 10. But in that stretch, they've failed to out-shoot their opponents only twice - on the road against the East's best team in Boston (where they still managed a highly respectable 35 shots), and the lay down against Colorado last Sunday.
In the other 8 they've not only out-shot their opponents, but done it in a HUGE way, averaging almost 38 shots for to only about 28 for their opponents. That's an absurd shot differential over a 10-game stretch. And it suggests that this streaky game of hockey just happens to be working against the Hawks right now, but that the underlying play remains solid.
The Hawks will turn things around. Getting Khabi back will help in a big way (even if he was a bit rusty yesterday), as will the return of Sharp and the introduction of Pahlsson. I'm still a big doubter of JQ's ability to win deep into the post-season, but you can't deny his ability to get his team there and win early.
So don't expect a Cubs-esque letdown of your high expectations. Instead, believe in the talent and execution the Hawks have shown and know that the best is still yet to come.
Thursday, March 12, 2009
An Ode to You, Kris Versteeg
I was at the game last night, possibly the first shoot-out winner I've seen live. The excitement of the shoot-out made up for an otherwise slower game. I left feeling damn good with two points in hand, and even better when I saw that Vancouver was losing in Anaheim (they ended up with an OL).
And there's one guy I have to thank for it. He doesn't have all of Kane's smooth and exciting skills, but he's got some. He doesn't have all of Toews moxy and all-around impact, but he's got some. He doesn't have all of Campbell's speed and playmaking, but he's got some. He doesn't have all of Sharp's knack for finding the net, but he's got some. He doesn't have all of Havlat's amazing hockey sense and complete skill set, but he's got some. And he doesn't have Keith's motor or every-facet impact, but he's got some.
That's Kris Versteeg to me - a guy who takes a little bit of the best part of the games of everyone else on the team. Quietly, with little local media or hockey insider attention, Versteeg is showing himself the kind of invaluable player that makes for a championship squad.
Last night the Hawks offense looked like a shell of the squad that has been a league leader in scoring all season. Sharp and Havlat were both out and Kane remains slowed from that high ankle sprain (whether it's mental or physical at this point is debatable, but the fact that he's not the same guy he was before the injury is not). The Hawks still got their shots (another 40+ night) and even had a good amount of prime scoring chances, but two periods in they had only a single goal to show for it.
And that's when Versteeg answered the bell, despite skating on a garbage line with a pair of Rockford call-ups. He took a breakaway down the left side and beat the goalie with a beautiful shot - giving the Hawks the lead that had eluded them all night, despite many other breakaway chances that were far better than what Versteeg saw. And come the shoot-out, it was Versteeg who beat the goalie to win 3-2 in 4 rounds.
It's been that way all season. Doesn't matter that he's juggled up and down the lines, from wing to center. Doesn't matter if he's run up against the "rookie wall." Doesn't matter if the rest of the team's offense is a bit off or undermanned. Versteeg just keeps on producing. With 18 G and 28 A, he currently leads all rookies in scoring, just like he's done all year. That includes 13 power play points - the exact same as Havlat has. But he's also got 7 short-handed points, by far the most on the team. And did we mention he's a +16, despite playing on weak lines all year?
No one else might be making a big thing of this kid, but I'm going to. Because despite leading rookies in scoring, he may not even make the All-Rookie team. He certainly won't win Rookie of the Year - that's going to Mason (G-CBJ), and deservedly so. I'm not sure how they choose the All-Rookie team, but if it needs a true center and two wingers, Versteeg could lose the winger spots to Ryan (ANA) with 23 G in 50 G and Wheeler (BOS) with 38 Points and +32 on one of the league's top teams.
But I don't care, because I think Versteeg will get plenty of props come April. Maybe not this April - he is a rookie and the team is woefully inexperienced. But the fact is that the Hawks should be post-season mainstays and Versteeg is a big reason. And I believe he's the kind of kid who will step it up when the need is greatest. His two-way skill will keep him on the ice and his ability to make plays when no one around him can will allow him to shine.
I'm excited to see Toews become the next Mark Messier, I'm excited to see what Havlat can do year-in and year-out if healthy. I can't wait to see Kane shake off this injury and elevate to pure superstar status. And at some point, it'll be fun to see Keith finally get his due as the Hawks' best player and one of hockey's elite defenseman on both ends of the ice. But I think Versteeg is gonna be every bit as impactful for the Hawks over the next decade as any of those guys. And I'm looking forward to seeing it happen.
And there's one guy I have to thank for it. He doesn't have all of Kane's smooth and exciting skills, but he's got some. He doesn't have all of Toews moxy and all-around impact, but he's got some. He doesn't have all of Campbell's speed and playmaking, but he's got some. He doesn't have all of Sharp's knack for finding the net, but he's got some. He doesn't have all of Havlat's amazing hockey sense and complete skill set, but he's got some. And he doesn't have Keith's motor or every-facet impact, but he's got some.
That's Kris Versteeg to me - a guy who takes a little bit of the best part of the games of everyone else on the team. Quietly, with little local media or hockey insider attention, Versteeg is showing himself the kind of invaluable player that makes for a championship squad.
Last night the Hawks offense looked like a shell of the squad that has been a league leader in scoring all season. Sharp and Havlat were both out and Kane remains slowed from that high ankle sprain (whether it's mental or physical at this point is debatable, but the fact that he's not the same guy he was before the injury is not). The Hawks still got their shots (another 40+ night) and even had a good amount of prime scoring chances, but two periods in they had only a single goal to show for it.
And that's when Versteeg answered the bell, despite skating on a garbage line with a pair of Rockford call-ups. He took a breakaway down the left side and beat the goalie with a beautiful shot - giving the Hawks the lead that had eluded them all night, despite many other breakaway chances that were far better than what Versteeg saw. And come the shoot-out, it was Versteeg who beat the goalie to win 3-2 in 4 rounds.
It's been that way all season. Doesn't matter that he's juggled up and down the lines, from wing to center. Doesn't matter if he's run up against the "rookie wall." Doesn't matter if the rest of the team's offense is a bit off or undermanned. Versteeg just keeps on producing. With 18 G and 28 A, he currently leads all rookies in scoring, just like he's done all year. That includes 13 power play points - the exact same as Havlat has. But he's also got 7 short-handed points, by far the most on the team. And did we mention he's a +16, despite playing on weak lines all year?
No one else might be making a big thing of this kid, but I'm going to. Because despite leading rookies in scoring, he may not even make the All-Rookie team. He certainly won't win Rookie of the Year - that's going to Mason (G-CBJ), and deservedly so. I'm not sure how they choose the All-Rookie team, but if it needs a true center and two wingers, Versteeg could lose the winger spots to Ryan (ANA) with 23 G in 50 G and Wheeler (BOS) with 38 Points and +32 on one of the league's top teams.
But I don't care, because I think Versteeg will get plenty of props come April. Maybe not this April - he is a rookie and the team is woefully inexperienced. But the fact is that the Hawks should be post-season mainstays and Versteeg is a big reason. And I believe he's the kind of kid who will step it up when the need is greatest. His two-way skill will keep him on the ice and his ability to make plays when no one around him can will allow him to shine.
I'm excited to see Toews become the next Mark Messier, I'm excited to see what Havlat can do year-in and year-out if healthy. I can't wait to see Kane shake off this injury and elevate to pure superstar status. And at some point, it'll be fun to see Keith finally get his due as the Hawks' best player and one of hockey's elite defenseman on both ends of the ice. But I think Versteeg is gonna be every bit as impactful for the Hawks over the next decade as any of those guys. And I'm looking forward to seeing it happen.
Wednesday, March 11, 2009
Hawks vs. Canes
The East is a wide-open battle right now, with the divisions pretty well in hand and almost nothing else settled. The Flyers have 3-point lead for the #4 seed and 2 to 3 games in hand on everyone, but there's still plenty of time and plenty of teams to catch them, as they sit only 6 total points above 9th place. Yep, it's that tight.
Tonight the Hawks face a team right in the middle of it, the Carolina Hurricanes, sitting in 8th, a mere point above the Rangers and an extra game played. Heat is on, but the Canes have been responding of late, going 8-2-0 in their last 10, thanks to their current 4-game win streak. They're also a tough guest, with their 17 road wins good for 6th in the NHL.
The Canes, the relocated version of sports' coolest franchise - the Hartford Whalers - have failed to qualify for the playoffs in 4 of the last 5 seasons (going back to two seasons prior to the lock-out). But in that one season, immediately after the lock-out, they won the Cup. That makes a lot of bad years disappear in a hurry.
However, when you follow that up with back-to-back post-season-less years and threaten to make it a hat trick, the good will of that Cup can disappear just as quickly. Especially when the team has a lot of veterans who aren't getting any younger.
Offensively, Carolina is middle of the pack, with a Power Play that figures into the bottom third of the league. #13 Whitney (21 G, 37 A) is still making plays at the age of 36, especially with a man advantage. #12 Staal (32 G, 26 A) has a deceptive stat line - while a 40-goal pace is always impressive, the guy has done the great majority of his damage in a few games against some really bad teams. Newcomer #26 Cole (17 G, 16 A) has made an instant impact with 6 points in his first three games with the Canes. #8 Cullen (20 G, 18 A) and #17 Brind'Amour (10 G, 25 A) are productive vets, while youngster #59 LaRose (14 G, 11 A) has shown a knack for finding the net.
Two more names to note - former Hawks #15 Ruutu (20 G, 25 A) and #14 Samsonov (14 G, 27 A) are continuing the hot play they showed in going to Carolina midway through last season. Ruutu netted the Hawks Ladd, a guy who has fit in Chicago in a way that Ruutu never did, but Samsonov was merely waived after 20 disappointing games in the Indian Head sweater. Neither seemed to show the heart the Hawks have evidenced, so despite their solid numbers, I say good riddance.
Defensively Carolina is also middle of the pack, with a penalty kill that's just a bit below the league average. #25 Pitkanen (6 G, 22 A, 25:06 ATOI) and Oak Park's own #77 Corvo (13 G, 17 A, 24:19 ATOI) anchor the blue line, while #4 Seidenberg (4 G, 19 A, 23:13 ATOI), auf Deutschland!, also logs a good amount of productive ice time. #6 Gleason (0 G, 11 A, 20:52 ATOI) rounds out the Top 4, while #33 Babchuk (9 G, 13 A, 17:30 ATOI) joins Ruutu in giving the Canes the Hawks first round pick in both 2001 and 2002.
And in the Odds-and-Ends Dept., Brind'Amour (who wears the C) is a wizard in the face-off circle, winning 61% of his draws, while Cullen is serviceable and Staal (who wears an A) is pretty weak. We won't be seeing Brandon Sutter, who was recently sent-down after an unimpactful 50 games with the big club - he's the son of Brent Sutter, of the Clan Sutter. Also, Whitney wears the other A and don't expect a fight tonight - Ruutu leads the team with a meager 63 PIM.
Tonight the Hawks face a team right in the middle of it, the Carolina Hurricanes, sitting in 8th, a mere point above the Rangers and an extra game played. Heat is on, but the Canes have been responding of late, going 8-2-0 in their last 10, thanks to their current 4-game win streak. They're also a tough guest, with their 17 road wins good for 6th in the NHL.
The Canes, the relocated version of sports' coolest franchise - the Hartford Whalers - have failed to qualify for the playoffs in 4 of the last 5 seasons (going back to two seasons prior to the lock-out). But in that one season, immediately after the lock-out, they won the Cup. That makes a lot of bad years disappear in a hurry.
However, when you follow that up with back-to-back post-season-less years and threaten to make it a hat trick, the good will of that Cup can disappear just as quickly. Especially when the team has a lot of veterans who aren't getting any younger.
Offensively, Carolina is middle of the pack, with a Power Play that figures into the bottom third of the league. #13 Whitney (21 G, 37 A) is still making plays at the age of 36, especially with a man advantage. #12 Staal (32 G, 26 A) has a deceptive stat line - while a 40-goal pace is always impressive, the guy has done the great majority of his damage in a few games against some really bad teams. Newcomer #26 Cole (17 G, 16 A) has made an instant impact with 6 points in his first three games with the Canes. #8 Cullen (20 G, 18 A) and #17 Brind'Amour (10 G, 25 A) are productive vets, while youngster #59 LaRose (14 G, 11 A) has shown a knack for finding the net.
Two more names to note - former Hawks #15 Ruutu (20 G, 25 A) and #14 Samsonov (14 G, 27 A) are continuing the hot play they showed in going to Carolina midway through last season. Ruutu netted the Hawks Ladd, a guy who has fit in Chicago in a way that Ruutu never did, but Samsonov was merely waived after 20 disappointing games in the Indian Head sweater. Neither seemed to show the heart the Hawks have evidenced, so despite their solid numbers, I say good riddance.
Defensively Carolina is also middle of the pack, with a penalty kill that's just a bit below the league average. #25 Pitkanen (6 G, 22 A, 25:06 ATOI) and Oak Park's own #77 Corvo (13 G, 17 A, 24:19 ATOI) anchor the blue line, while #4 Seidenberg (4 G, 19 A, 23:13 ATOI), auf Deutschland!, also logs a good amount of productive ice time. #6 Gleason (0 G, 11 A, 20:52 ATOI) rounds out the Top 4, while #33 Babchuk (9 G, 13 A, 17:30 ATOI) joins Ruutu in giving the Canes the Hawks first round pick in both 2001 and 2002.
- Side note to one of my loyal readers - the Hawks 2003 First Round Pick? Seabrook. Don't ever doubt me again. And for the rest of you who may be curious - Barker was 04, Skille was 05 (which explains why he continues to be hyped, despite not being able to break thru), Toews in 06, Kane in 07, and Kyle Beach, a physical and mildly controversial player who's lighting up Juniors again this year, was the pick this past year.
And in the Odds-and-Ends Dept., Brind'Amour (who wears the C) is a wizard in the face-off circle, winning 61% of his draws, while Cullen is serviceable and Staal (who wears an A) is pretty weak. We won't be seeing Brandon Sutter, who was recently sent-down after an unimpactful 50 games with the big club - he's the son of Brent Sutter, of the Clan Sutter. Also, Whitney wears the other A and don't expect a fight tonight - Ruutu leads the team with a meager 63 PIM.
Tuesday, March 10, 2009
Stretch Run Thoughts
We're entering the stretch run, with 18 games left before the Hawks return to the playoffs.
First, keep an eye on those Canucks. Before last night's loss in LA, they were 8-2 over their last 10, pulling within 5 points of the Hawks through the same number of games. However, that road loss represents what might be the Hawks biggest advantage - a huge home-away discrepancy. The Canucks final 18 games feature 10 on the road (including last night's loss). The Hawks final 18 include only 6 roadies.
The Hawks are young and don't really know what it takes to hold on to a playoff spot. They got a decent taste of the action last year, when they were fighting for the 8th seed. But it's different now, when they firmly have the 4th and need to avoid blowing it. It'll be a great learning experience - here's hoping their impressive talent allows them to net home ice in the first round. Getting Khabi back would be nice also - with a strong veteran netminders every night, I don't see us stumbling too badly.
Having been away from hockey for so long, I forgot just how streaky players can be. I knew guys would come up from the minors or over in a trade and then light it up for a few weeks, but I forgot that even the everyday guys will have huge ups-and-downs.
At the beginning of this year, my brother commented that Toews was overrated, and that he'd probably be more of a grinder than a star. I would laugh at this inanity, especially as we hadn't even seen Toews play 80 games at that point, except I was also on record that Kane had a good shot to be the best American born player ever... also after seeing around only 80 games.
Both of us had put too much into a small hot or cold streak. Kane is a highly skilled player, but he's clearly hit a major hurdle in his development that he's yet to overcome. I'd like to believe it's continued fallout from a high ankle sprain - the type of injury that takes forever to go away. If it's not fully healed, that can really effect a player's whole feel out there, and make all the difference for such a skilled performer like Kane. But it's possible that Kane's size and lack of inate toughness will relegate him to really good, but not great status.
Personally, I believe Kane will get healthy - hopefully before the playoffs, but certainly by next year - and will go back to being a true star. He is only 20, and he's lead the Hawks in scoring almost every day since he's been on the team. Will Kane be the best American born player ever? He's got some developing to do first.
As for Toews, it's clear this kid is a star. He hasn't been called on to kill penalties and be as much of a defensive center as last season (tho he still seems fully capable), but he remains a physical presence, a skilled play maker, strong on draws (the only Hawks center to do so), and boy can he fill the net.
His goal-scoring was evident last year, when he had 24 in only 64 games (30 goal pace). But then he began this season with a 12-game goalless streak, which obviously lead to my brother's conclusion. Since then, he's scored 28 goals in the last 52 games - that's a 44-goal a year clip.
The lesson - don't get too into the periodic highs and lows of hockey players. Goals and assists come (and don't come) in bunches. Going cold isn't always the sign of a problem, it's just part of the game. And getting hot doesn't always last. I'd say I need to see a consistent half season or more of a performance level before I'll start to see validity to it. And I'd want to two seasons worth before I'll say a guy is regularly capable of that level of play.
So where does that put the Hawks young forwards? Well, I'd say both Toews and Kane will be superstars, as their hype predicted. Toews is high right now, but he'll certainly hit his bumps again, while Kane will get healthy and have a nice run of his own. But at the end of each year they'll both have a ton of points and goals, and be primary reasons for the Hawks success each season.
Combine those two with the ultra-talented and all-around skill of Havlat, Sharp's ability to score and play solid D, as well as Versteeg's quiet and highly effective game on both ends, and I think the Hawks have a foundation of forwards as good as anyone out there. I didn't even include Ladd or Bolland, who've been very productive on both ends and are 23 and 22! Yeah, easy to forget that. Throw in the newcomer Pahlsson, who's only 31 and widely believed to be one of the top shut-down centers in the league, and I firmly believe the Hawks have pretty much all the forwards they'll need for a while.
In fact, that's something that's been bothering me - write-ups voicing disappointment that the Hawks "settled" for a grinder like Pahlsson instead of a pure 2nd line scoring center. First off, what proven playoff capable 2nd line centerman was out there?
Second, who says the Hawks need more offense? As I mentioned, in Toews, Kane, Sharp, Havlat, and Versteeg, we've got five highly skilled offensive players. Besides Sharp, all of those guys are outstanding playmakers. Throw in Ladd and Bolland, and the Hawks have plenty of scoring options every night.
In fact, I don't get why it was demanded that we get our scoring out of a centerman. Buff and Brouwer both have their roles, but neither brings anything offensively consistent to the table. Why wasn't there more of a call to replace either of those two with a scoring winger if we needed offense so bad?
To me, the Hawks made the right move. The call for a second line center reminds me of baseball, where everyone always claims that their team needs "another bat" for the stretch run. Now have you ever seen a team win or lose in the playoffs based on one bat? Especially of the type that's available in a mid-season trade? Of course not - it's all about pitching (starting and relief), defense, and a consistent offense. But a bat seems such an obvious impact, so fans and "experts" alike are always calling for them.
Seems like the same thing in hockey. Everyone wants another scorer. But playoff hockey, like playoff baseball, isn't about scoring. It's about defense, depth, and goaltending. And playoff scoring isn't about volume, it's about getting what you need when you need it. So the Hawks upgraded their defense in a big way with Pahlsson, getting a lockdown centerman and great face-off guy. Factor in his experience and veteran savvy, and this is EXACTLY the sort of impact player the Hawks needed this year.
A few final random thoughts. Obviously we're all hoping that Havlat's injury is nothing major. If he's got to sit a few games, no big deal. Vancouver's close, but the Hawks can handle it. He will be sorely missed, no doubt. But as long as Havlat's back for the final 10-12 games at full speed, we'll survive. I will say, it's annoying the way the NHL has changed the rules so teams don't give any true updates on guy's injuries. For a league that needs to keep its fans happy, this is a terrible policy.
Can't wait to see Pahlsson out there, as he's clearly the type who has to be watched closely to be appreciated. As someone who prides myself on being a strong defensive center, great face-off guy, and intanglibles type, Pahlsson should be a real joy to follow. In the meantime, why wasn't Brent given more of a shot with the big league team? He's supposedly a good face-off guy who's played well at Rockford, why not see if he can show some signs of being a replacement if we lose Pahlsson next year?
I understand that Pelletier is supposedly a far more talented player, but I didn't get the feeling he was a natural centerman. If he is so talented, shouldn't we leave him on the wing and let him develop there? Also, he's looked terrible in the bigs, w/o netting a point in 9 NHL games, while posting a -6 in over 10 minutes a game. After Sunday's -3 against Colorado, I hope he's on a short leash.
Finally, I'm curious to see how Aaron Johnson and Hjalmarsson do in the 6th defenseman spot. Aaron Johnson put up another non-negative start in the Bruins loss, bringing his streak to 29-for-29 this year. And Hjalmarsson was a 0 despite working 13 minutes in the Colorado debacle. One of them needs to step up, as there are talks that Sopel is close to returning. If that guy is on the ice come playoff time, I foresee a very short stay in the postseason. To me Sopel is good for one thing - being a healthy scratch so someone else doesn't have to suffer the ignominy.
First, keep an eye on those Canucks. Before last night's loss in LA, they were 8-2 over their last 10, pulling within 5 points of the Hawks through the same number of games. However, that road loss represents what might be the Hawks biggest advantage - a huge home-away discrepancy. The Canucks final 18 games feature 10 on the road (including last night's loss). The Hawks final 18 include only 6 roadies.
The Hawks are young and don't really know what it takes to hold on to a playoff spot. They got a decent taste of the action last year, when they were fighting for the 8th seed. But it's different now, when they firmly have the 4th and need to avoid blowing it. It'll be a great learning experience - here's hoping their impressive talent allows them to net home ice in the first round. Getting Khabi back would be nice also - with a strong veteran netminders every night, I don't see us stumbling too badly.
Having been away from hockey for so long, I forgot just how streaky players can be. I knew guys would come up from the minors or over in a trade and then light it up for a few weeks, but I forgot that even the everyday guys will have huge ups-and-downs.
At the beginning of this year, my brother commented that Toews was overrated, and that he'd probably be more of a grinder than a star. I would laugh at this inanity, especially as we hadn't even seen Toews play 80 games at that point, except I was also on record that Kane had a good shot to be the best American born player ever... also after seeing around only 80 games.
Both of us had put too much into a small hot or cold streak. Kane is a highly skilled player, but he's clearly hit a major hurdle in his development that he's yet to overcome. I'd like to believe it's continued fallout from a high ankle sprain - the type of injury that takes forever to go away. If it's not fully healed, that can really effect a player's whole feel out there, and make all the difference for such a skilled performer like Kane. But it's possible that Kane's size and lack of inate toughness will relegate him to really good, but not great status.
Personally, I believe Kane will get healthy - hopefully before the playoffs, but certainly by next year - and will go back to being a true star. He is only 20, and he's lead the Hawks in scoring almost every day since he's been on the team. Will Kane be the best American born player ever? He's got some developing to do first.
As for Toews, it's clear this kid is a star. He hasn't been called on to kill penalties and be as much of a defensive center as last season (tho he still seems fully capable), but he remains a physical presence, a skilled play maker, strong on draws (the only Hawks center to do so), and boy can he fill the net.
His goal-scoring was evident last year, when he had 24 in only 64 games (30 goal pace). But then he began this season with a 12-game goalless streak, which obviously lead to my brother's conclusion. Since then, he's scored 28 goals in the last 52 games - that's a 44-goal a year clip.
The lesson - don't get too into the periodic highs and lows of hockey players. Goals and assists come (and don't come) in bunches. Going cold isn't always the sign of a problem, it's just part of the game. And getting hot doesn't always last. I'd say I need to see a consistent half season or more of a performance level before I'll start to see validity to it. And I'd want to two seasons worth before I'll say a guy is regularly capable of that level of play.
So where does that put the Hawks young forwards? Well, I'd say both Toews and Kane will be superstars, as their hype predicted. Toews is high right now, but he'll certainly hit his bumps again, while Kane will get healthy and have a nice run of his own. But at the end of each year they'll both have a ton of points and goals, and be primary reasons for the Hawks success each season.
Combine those two with the ultra-talented and all-around skill of Havlat, Sharp's ability to score and play solid D, as well as Versteeg's quiet and highly effective game on both ends, and I think the Hawks have a foundation of forwards as good as anyone out there. I didn't even include Ladd or Bolland, who've been very productive on both ends and are 23 and 22! Yeah, easy to forget that. Throw in the newcomer Pahlsson, who's only 31 and widely believed to be one of the top shut-down centers in the league, and I firmly believe the Hawks have pretty much all the forwards they'll need for a while.
In fact, that's something that's been bothering me - write-ups voicing disappointment that the Hawks "settled" for a grinder like Pahlsson instead of a pure 2nd line scoring center. First off, what proven playoff capable 2nd line centerman was out there?
Second, who says the Hawks need more offense? As I mentioned, in Toews, Kane, Sharp, Havlat, and Versteeg, we've got five highly skilled offensive players. Besides Sharp, all of those guys are outstanding playmakers. Throw in Ladd and Bolland, and the Hawks have plenty of scoring options every night.
In fact, I don't get why it was demanded that we get our scoring out of a centerman. Buff and Brouwer both have their roles, but neither brings anything offensively consistent to the table. Why wasn't there more of a call to replace either of those two with a scoring winger if we needed offense so bad?
To me, the Hawks made the right move. The call for a second line center reminds me of baseball, where everyone always claims that their team needs "another bat" for the stretch run. Now have you ever seen a team win or lose in the playoffs based on one bat? Especially of the type that's available in a mid-season trade? Of course not - it's all about pitching (starting and relief), defense, and a consistent offense. But a bat seems such an obvious impact, so fans and "experts" alike are always calling for them.
Seems like the same thing in hockey. Everyone wants another scorer. But playoff hockey, like playoff baseball, isn't about scoring. It's about defense, depth, and goaltending. And playoff scoring isn't about volume, it's about getting what you need when you need it. So the Hawks upgraded their defense in a big way with Pahlsson, getting a lockdown centerman and great face-off guy. Factor in his experience and veteran savvy, and this is EXACTLY the sort of impact player the Hawks needed this year.
A few final random thoughts. Obviously we're all hoping that Havlat's injury is nothing major. If he's got to sit a few games, no big deal. Vancouver's close, but the Hawks can handle it. He will be sorely missed, no doubt. But as long as Havlat's back for the final 10-12 games at full speed, we'll survive. I will say, it's annoying the way the NHL has changed the rules so teams don't give any true updates on guy's injuries. For a league that needs to keep its fans happy, this is a terrible policy.
Can't wait to see Pahlsson out there, as he's clearly the type who has to be watched closely to be appreciated. As someone who prides myself on being a strong defensive center, great face-off guy, and intanglibles type, Pahlsson should be a real joy to follow. In the meantime, why wasn't Brent given more of a shot with the big league team? He's supposedly a good face-off guy who's played well at Rockford, why not see if he can show some signs of being a replacement if we lose Pahlsson next year?
I understand that Pelletier is supposedly a far more talented player, but I didn't get the feeling he was a natural centerman. If he is so talented, shouldn't we leave him on the wing and let him develop there? Also, he's looked terrible in the bigs, w/o netting a point in 9 NHL games, while posting a -6 in over 10 minutes a game. After Sunday's -3 against Colorado, I hope he's on a short leash.
Finally, I'm curious to see how Aaron Johnson and Hjalmarsson do in the 6th defenseman spot. Aaron Johnson put up another non-negative start in the Bruins loss, bringing his streak to 29-for-29 this year. And Hjalmarsson was a 0 despite working 13 minutes in the Colorado debacle. One of them needs to step up, as there are talks that Sopel is close to returning. If that guy is on the ice come playoff time, I foresee a very short stay in the postseason. To me Sopel is good for one thing - being a healthy scratch so someone else doesn't have to suffer the ignominy.
Wednesday, March 4, 2009
Trade Deadline Early Reports
We're not even an hour after the deadline, so things can still come in (as they get processed by the league), but here's what I've learned, mainly from ESPN.com's live blog, starting with the minor stuff:
-Supposedly the Hawks are all set to sign Havlat. Details need to be worked out, so it's not imminent, but it's expected to happen eventually. I can't wait to hear officially that he's gonna be wearing the Indian Head for a while longer.
-Adams was picked up by the Penguins, which is no great loss. He worked hard and was serviceable on the 4th line, but I think Burrish, Eager, and Frasier all bring more to the table, and I think I'd rather see one of the kids get some ice time if another spot opens up.
-The biggie - supposedly the Hawks have traded Wisniewski (as well as a pick and a minor leaguer) for Pahlsson (C-ANA), whom I detailed in a previous blog. Honestly, while I hate to see a young talent like Wisniewski go, he did look pretty bad recently. I'd like to believe it's because he had no training camp and is still a few steps slow after missing the first 2-3 months, but he's been in 30+ games now, and that excuse is starting to wear off. I'd also like to believe it's his youth, but he's 25, and has almost 170 career NHL games - more than 2 seasons' worth.
Wis has got toughness and athleticism, but he just hasn't shown enough reliability on defense to be a future piece. And with Aaron Johnson being serviceable this year and some other young assets like Hendry and Hjalmarsson having showing flashes of good things in limited big league time, Wis probably was expendable. I hope he turns into a good pro player down the road, but like a lot of the other guys the Hawks have been forced to jettison, I think there's plenty of talent left over so he won't be missed.
And I'm very pleased that Pahlsson was the guy the Hawks got. We need an intangibles guy, and that's what Pahlsson is. As I posted previously:
On top of that, the Hawks now have two strong face-off guys to throw out in key situations, and neither will hurt you. Toews will be out there for the key offensive zone face-offs, while Pahlsson can take those in their own end.
The Hawks were rumored to be in on Moore (C-TOR), but I'm glad they got Pahlsson instead. Moore (as I noted in a previous post) has really developed an offensive game this year, but he's not too experienced and relatively unproven. I'd much rather have the veteran Pahlsson, who was a key piece of a Stanley Cup winner two seasons ago.
-Supposedly the Hawks are all set to sign Havlat. Details need to be worked out, so it's not imminent, but it's expected to happen eventually. I can't wait to hear officially that he's gonna be wearing the Indian Head for a while longer.
-Adams was picked up by the Penguins, which is no great loss. He worked hard and was serviceable on the 4th line, but I think Burrish, Eager, and Frasier all bring more to the table, and I think I'd rather see one of the kids get some ice time if another spot opens up.
-The biggie - supposedly the Hawks have traded Wisniewski (as well as a pick and a minor leaguer) for Pahlsson (C-ANA), whom I detailed in a previous blog. Honestly, while I hate to see a young talent like Wisniewski go, he did look pretty bad recently. I'd like to believe it's because he had no training camp and is still a few steps slow after missing the first 2-3 months, but he's been in 30+ games now, and that excuse is starting to wear off. I'd also like to believe it's his youth, but he's 25, and has almost 170 career NHL games - more than 2 seasons' worth.
Wis has got toughness and athleticism, but he just hasn't shown enough reliability on defense to be a future piece. And with Aaron Johnson being serviceable this year and some other young assets like Hendry and Hjalmarsson having showing flashes of good things in limited big league time, Wis probably was expendable. I hope he turns into a good pro player down the road, but like a lot of the other guys the Hawks have been forced to jettison, I think there's plenty of talent left over so he won't be missed.
And I'm very pleased that Pahlsson was the guy the Hawks got. We need an intangibles guy, and that's what Pahlsson is. As I posted previously:
- Despite only having one double-digit goal season (11 in 05-06) and never reaching 20 assists, the guy gets a ton of minutes and plays nearly every night (didn't miss a game for three straight seasons at one point).
So if he's not bringing offense but is getting trusted with a lot of minutes (he currently is third among Ducks forwards, behind only their two leading scorers), he must be a heck of a defender and face-off guy. And to some extent, the numbers bear that out. He regularly is in the 53-55% face-off win range, and his plus-minus has hovered right around zero prior to this season. For a guy who obviously is out there checking the other team's top line, that's not a bad plus-minus at all (tho it's been ugly this year - probably cause the Ducks have struggled). He's also got 13 career short-handed points, which suggests he's a regular on the PK.
On top of that, the Hawks now have two strong face-off guys to throw out in key situations, and neither will hurt you. Toews will be out there for the key offensive zone face-offs, while Pahlsson can take those in their own end.
The Hawks were rumored to be in on Moore (C-TOR), but I'm glad they got Pahlsson instead. Moore (as I noted in a previous post) has really developed an offensive game this year, but he's not too experienced and relatively unproven. I'd much rather have the veteran Pahlsson, who was a key piece of a Stanley Cup winner two seasons ago.
Tuesday, March 3, 2009
Hawks vs. Ducks
Tonight - my first post-work Hawks game in almost three months. Can't wait.
Some Hawks Thoughts to start, with a keen eye on the March 4th Trade Deadline:
-Take Havelin (D-ATL) off the list of possible guys the Hawks will add. As I previously posted, he'd be a nice veteran blue-liner, but the Devils acquired him today.
However, I'm REALLY hoping the Hawks do not add a defenseman. I've been riding Barker's shortcomings in his own end for a while, but I think he can still develop into a highly valuable asset. His offensive skills are undeniable (he's got more power play points than Campbell) and he still has a chance to improve his defensive presence. But even if not, I think he's got far more trade value in the off-season, when every team is looking to upgrade their blueline and has money to spend.
Similarly, I'd hate to see Wisnieswki traded or lose ice time - either possible with a deal for a veteran defender. I think he's got some solid offensive skills, both as a quick puck carrier and a decent shooter. He's definitely tough, if under-sized, and has a solid head for defense. He's raw and needs work, but he's young, athletic and has a good 2-way mindset. I want to see him get experience down the stretch and into the playoffs. Same with Barker. That doesn't even touch on Aaron Johnson, who somehow is glued to the press box despite not finishing a single game this season a minus.
To me, the best thing the Hawks can do this year is continue to develop their players, especially in terms of getting them stretch-run and playoff experience. Let these defenders earn their stripes and reassess next year.
-The biggest move the Hawks make in the next few days might be internal. Supposedly there are serious talks of extending Havlat's deal.
What a tough call that is. Who is Martin Havlat? Is he the ultra-talented two-way player he's been this year, a guy who just has an incredible hockey sense, unreal skills, and the ability to excel on both ends of the ice?
Or is he the injury-prone pansy who always leaves you wanting more - the guy we saw the previous two seasons? Is this year's performance a classic contract year rebound? Will it all disappear once the ink's dry on the contract?
Honestly, I think you've got to take the chance on Havlat. He's just that good. More than Kane, more than Toews, more than Keith, the guy has incredible hockey sense. He's a lot more physical than he gets credit for, and clearly is both a nasty goal-scorer and invaluable playmaker.
I mean look at Bolland and Ladd - they've thrived playing with Havlat all year. To me he just makes everyone better, and for that reason you've got to keep him onboard, even at the risk of buying a lemon the next 3-5 seasons.
To tonight's match-up:
The Ducks have been contenders in all three seasons following the lock-out. Their 98- point outing in 05-06 ended in the Conference Finals, they put up 110 points and won the Cup in 06-07, and then posted another 102 points last year before the Stars knocked them out in the first round.
This year, not so much. Technically their 8th in the West, but don't let that fool you - they've played more games than any of their competitors for those 5-8 seeds. Their current 86-point pace is good for 11th in the conference, which means they've got work left to do. But given that 89 points is the pace for 6th, the Ducks are very much alive. With all their experience, a good amount of talent, and a solid 16-15-2 road record, the Ducks are a worthy opponent tonight.
Despite the league's 5th best Power Play, the offense still is a bit below average at 2.8 goals per game. The trade of Kunitz (16 G, 19 A) certainly won't help, even if it does upgrade their defense in both ends.
Their star is Getzlaf (20 G, 50 A), one of the league's premier play-makers. Perry (22 G, 32 A), American rookie sensation Ryan (21 G, 20 A in 46 games), and veteran Selanne (20 G, 19 A in 47 games) can all fill up the scoresheet. Other than that, the forwards aren't very offensively gifted. Pahlsson, mentioned as a possible Hawks' target, is a good defensive center. Guys like Niedermayer, Moen, and Morrison are all solid grindy veterans who don't put up much for numbers.
Given the names on the Ducks blueline and the wealth of veteran role-playing forwards, you'd think they'd be a better defensive team. Instead they sit below the league average with 2.94 GAA. Their PKs are below average as well.
All the same, you've got respect a group that includes Niedermayer (9 G, 34 A, 27:05 ATOI), Pronger (10 G, 27 A, 27:03 ATOI), and Beauchemin (4 G, 1 A, 25:35 ATOI in 18 games). However, Beauchemin got hurt in November and hasn't returned, leaving a pretty big hole in the defense. That hole was recently filled in the Kunitz deal, as the Ducks landed talented young defenseman Whitney (2 G, 11 A, 24:26 ATOI in 30 games). He was needed, as besides Montador (4 G, 16 A) the Ducks blueline has been a hodge podge of iffy pieces.
That inconsistent blue line is probably a big reason that Giguere (3.13 GAA, .902 Sv %) is having his worst year in nine seasons as a pro. When you're allowed an entire goal more per game than the previous season, things aren't going your way. That's lead to Hiller (2.33 GAA, .920 Sv %) taking about 40% of the starts. However, he's only played once in the last nine games, so the starting spot is still clearly Giguere's.
In the odds and ends department, Niedermayer wears the C, with Pronger and Getzlaf sporting the A's. Montador leads the team in PIM, but at 6-1, 210 and a solid defenseman, is more of a feisty scrapper than a true goon. That title belongs to the 6-5, 235 Parros, who spends one minute in the box for every 4 he's on the ice.
Should be a good one, as the Hawks have won at home and in Anaheim, while also losing a 1-0 heartbreaker on the Pond back on the Circus Trip.
Some Hawks Thoughts to start, with a keen eye on the March 4th Trade Deadline:
-Take Havelin (D-ATL) off the list of possible guys the Hawks will add. As I previously posted, he'd be a nice veteran blue-liner, but the Devils acquired him today.
However, I'm REALLY hoping the Hawks do not add a defenseman. I've been riding Barker's shortcomings in his own end for a while, but I think he can still develop into a highly valuable asset. His offensive skills are undeniable (he's got more power play points than Campbell) and he still has a chance to improve his defensive presence. But even if not, I think he's got far more trade value in the off-season, when every team is looking to upgrade their blueline and has money to spend.
Similarly, I'd hate to see Wisnieswki traded or lose ice time - either possible with a deal for a veteran defender. I think he's got some solid offensive skills, both as a quick puck carrier and a decent shooter. He's definitely tough, if under-sized, and has a solid head for defense. He's raw and needs work, but he's young, athletic and has a good 2-way mindset. I want to see him get experience down the stretch and into the playoffs. Same with Barker. That doesn't even touch on Aaron Johnson, who somehow is glued to the press box despite not finishing a single game this season a minus.
To me, the best thing the Hawks can do this year is continue to develop their players, especially in terms of getting them stretch-run and playoff experience. Let these defenders earn their stripes and reassess next year.
-The biggest move the Hawks make in the next few days might be internal. Supposedly there are serious talks of extending Havlat's deal.
What a tough call that is. Who is Martin Havlat? Is he the ultra-talented two-way player he's been this year, a guy who just has an incredible hockey sense, unreal skills, and the ability to excel on both ends of the ice?
Or is he the injury-prone pansy who always leaves you wanting more - the guy we saw the previous two seasons? Is this year's performance a classic contract year rebound? Will it all disappear once the ink's dry on the contract?
Honestly, I think you've got to take the chance on Havlat. He's just that good. More than Kane, more than Toews, more than Keith, the guy has incredible hockey sense. He's a lot more physical than he gets credit for, and clearly is both a nasty goal-scorer and invaluable playmaker.
I mean look at Bolland and Ladd - they've thrived playing with Havlat all year. To me he just makes everyone better, and for that reason you've got to keep him onboard, even at the risk of buying a lemon the next 3-5 seasons.
To tonight's match-up:
The Ducks have been contenders in all three seasons following the lock-out. Their 98- point outing in 05-06 ended in the Conference Finals, they put up 110 points and won the Cup in 06-07, and then posted another 102 points last year before the Stars knocked them out in the first round.
This year, not so much. Technically their 8th in the West, but don't let that fool you - they've played more games than any of their competitors for those 5-8 seeds. Their current 86-point pace is good for 11th in the conference, which means they've got work left to do. But given that 89 points is the pace for 6th, the Ducks are very much alive. With all their experience, a good amount of talent, and a solid 16-15-2 road record, the Ducks are a worthy opponent tonight.
Despite the league's 5th best Power Play, the offense still is a bit below average at 2.8 goals per game. The trade of Kunitz (16 G, 19 A) certainly won't help, even if it does upgrade their defense in both ends.
Their star is Getzlaf (20 G, 50 A), one of the league's premier play-makers. Perry (22 G, 32 A), American rookie sensation Ryan (21 G, 20 A in 46 games), and veteran Selanne (20 G, 19 A in 47 games) can all fill up the scoresheet. Other than that, the forwards aren't very offensively gifted. Pahlsson, mentioned as a possible Hawks' target, is a good defensive center. Guys like Niedermayer, Moen, and Morrison are all solid grindy veterans who don't put up much for numbers.
Given the names on the Ducks blueline and the wealth of veteran role-playing forwards, you'd think they'd be a better defensive team. Instead they sit below the league average with 2.94 GAA. Their PKs are below average as well.
All the same, you've got respect a group that includes Niedermayer (9 G, 34 A, 27:05 ATOI), Pronger (10 G, 27 A, 27:03 ATOI), and Beauchemin (4 G, 1 A, 25:35 ATOI in 18 games). However, Beauchemin got hurt in November and hasn't returned, leaving a pretty big hole in the defense. That hole was recently filled in the Kunitz deal, as the Ducks landed talented young defenseman Whitney (2 G, 11 A, 24:26 ATOI in 30 games). He was needed, as besides Montador (4 G, 16 A) the Ducks blueline has been a hodge podge of iffy pieces.
That inconsistent blue line is probably a big reason that Giguere (3.13 GAA, .902 Sv %) is having his worst year in nine seasons as a pro. When you're allowed an entire goal more per game than the previous season, things aren't going your way. That's lead to Hiller (2.33 GAA, .920 Sv %) taking about 40% of the starts. However, he's only played once in the last nine games, so the starting spot is still clearly Giguere's.
In the odds and ends department, Niedermayer wears the C, with Pronger and Getzlaf sporting the A's. Montador leads the team in PIM, but at 6-1, 210 and a solid defenseman, is more of a feisty scrapper than a true goon. That title belongs to the 6-5, 235 Parros, who spends one minute in the box for every 4 he's on the ice.
Should be a good one, as the Hawks have won at home and in Anaheim, while also losing a 1-0 heartbreaker on the Pond back on the Circus Trip.
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